HOWARD, Chief Judge.
Hilton Ríos-Rivera pled guilty to transporting a minor to a hotel in Puerto Rico with the intent to engage in criminal sexual activity with her, in violation of the Mann Act, 18 U.S.C. § 2423(a). After accepting his plea, the district court sentenced Ríos to an above-guidelines incarcerative term of 216 months. Ríos now challenges both Congresss authority to criminalize his conduct and the district courts sentence. For the reasons discussed below, we affirm Ríoss conviction and his sentence.
I.
The parties do not dispute the events leading to this prosecution. All of the material conduct took place within Puerto Rico. In early April 2013, Ríos, a fifty-year-old man, met the fourteen-year-old victim at a bar where he was performing with his band. While the victims mother was in the restroom, he gave the victim his bands compact disc and his business card and asked her to contact him. The following day, the victims mother discovered a text message from Ríos on her daughters phone. She called Ríos to inform him of her daughters age and warned him not to contact her daughter again. Despite those admonitions, Ríos continued contacting the victim. In one conversation, Ríos asked the victim if she was fourteen, to which the victim responded affirmatively. In a subsequent conversation on April 8, 2013, Ríos asked the victim where she went to school. The victim told Ríos the name of her middle school, and he arranged to pick her up during her lunch period the next day.
On April 9, 2013, Ríos drove to the victims middle school. The middle school had a sign clearly labeling it as such, and its students wore school uniforms. Ríos met the victim at a gas station across the street from her school and took her to a motel, where he had sexual intercourse with her. Ríos repeated this behavior the next day. On April 11, at 8:00 a.m., Ríos once more met the victim at the gas station near her middle school. He again took her to a motel where he had sexual intercourse with her and then dropped her off at 3:00 p.m. at the bus stop near her house.
After an investigation, in August 2013 the Puerto Rican authorities charged Ríos with three counts of sexual assault. In February 2014, a federal grand jury indicted Ríos for three violations of § 2423(a), which prohibits knowingly transport[ing] a minor in any commonwealth, territory or possession of the United States, with intent that the individual engage ... in any sexual activity for which any person can be charged with a criminal offense. Before trial, Ríos entered into a plea agreement with the government. In exchange for the government dropping two counts of the three-count indictment, Ríos pled guilty to one count and waived his right to appeal so long as the district court sentenced him within a certain range calculated in accordance with the sentencing guidelines.
The district court calculated the sentencing guidelines range as the plea agreement suggested, but declined to sentence Ríos within that range. It found that Ríoss statements at sentencing were geared to minimize his responsibility. During his hearing, Ríos protested that the victim and her mother misrepresented her age to him. These assertions contradicted not only the victims and her mothers statements to the probation officer, but also the recitations in the plea agreement. The district court also expressed concern that the presentence investigation report revealed that Ríos had been previously charged with five counts of sexually assaulting his stepdaughter, although he ultimately pled guilty to one count of aggravated assault. Further, the district court noted that one of Ríoss neighbors told probation officers that Ríos always [had] young girlfriends who looked to be 18 or 19 years of age. The district court also cited what it characterized as Ríoss manipulative behavior and the governments unrebutted evidence that the victim suffered psychological harm as a result of it. After considering this evidence in light of the 18 U.S.C. § 3553(a) sentencing factors, the district court announced that it would depart from the sentencing guidelines recommendation and sentence Ríos to 196 months. Shortly afterward, the court corrected a mathematical error in its initial calculation and clarified that Ríos was sentenced to 216 months, which was in essence ... a variance of 2.5 years.
Ríos timely appealed. For the first time, he challenges the constitutionality of his conviction on the grounds that Congress lacked the authority to enact § 2423(a) and that the statute impermissibly discriminates against Puerto Ricans in violation of the equal protection component of the Fifth Amendments Due Process Clause. He also claims that his sentence was procedurally and substantively unreasonable.
II.
As an initial matter, Ríos has forfeited his challenges to the constitutionality of § 2423(a). After his indictment, Ríos agreed to plead guilty without ever contesting the indictment in the district court. Ríos cannot point to any instances in the record where he so much as hinted at the constitutional arguments he seeks to raise here. Moreover, his plea agreement does not refer to any potential constitutional qualms.
At the time that Ríos lodged this appeal, in our circuit this conduct would waive -- not forfeit -- Ríoss right to argue on appeal that § 2423(a) is unconstitutional. See, e.g., United States v. Martinez-Martinez, 69 F.3d 1215, 1224 (1st Cir. 1995). But the Supreme Courts decision in Class v. United States established that such challenges are not waived by a guilty plea alone. --- U.S. ----, 138 S.Ct. 798, 803, 200 L.Ed.2d 37 (2018) (citing Blackledge v. Perry, 417 U.S. 21, 94 S.Ct. 2098, 40 L.Ed.2d 628 (1974) (allowing challenge to vindictive prosecution to proceed after guilty plea); Menna v. New York, 423 U.S. 61, 96 S.Ct. 241, 46 L.Ed.2d 195 (1975) (per curiam) (permitting double jeopardy claim after guilty plea) ). Because the government conceded in a Federal Rule of Appellate Procedure 28(j) letter that Class permits Ríos to raise his arguments that his prosecution is unconstitutional, we consider them below.
Nevertheless, even if Ríos may object to his prosecutions constitutionality for the first time on appeal, his decision not to press these arguments before the district court effects a forfeiture, even after Class. In Class, the Supreme Court only decided that a guilty plea alone does not waive claims that the government could not constitutionally prosecute the defendant. 138 S.Ct. at 804 (quoting Menna, 423 U.S. at 62 n.2, 96 S.Ct. 241 ). Nowhere in Class did the Court say that a defendant could never forfeit such Blackledge- Menna claims. It had no need to reach the forfeiture issue because the defendant in Class had moved in the district court to dismiss his indictment on the same constitutional grounds that he then sought to raise on appeal. 138 S.Ct. at 802. Class therefore does not require us to reconsider our prior case law and excuse a defendants failure to preserve Blackledge- Menna arguments below. See United States v. Stefanidakis, 678 F.3d 96, 99 (1st Cir. 2012) (finding forfeited appellants double jeopardy claim and applying plain error review).
Blackledge- Menna claims are not objections to the courts Article III jurisdiction, and are thus not of the type that we review de novo whenever they are brought. See United States v. Cordero, 42 F.3d 697, 699 (1st Cir. 1994). Rather, such claims relate to the governments authority to prosecute a defendant, not to the courts authority to adjudicate a case. See Steel Co. v. Citizens for a Better Envt, 523 U.S. 83, 89, 118 S.Ct. 1003, 140 L.Ed.2d 210 (1998) ([T]he absence of a valid (as opposed to arguable) cause of action does not implicate subject-matter jurisdiction, i.e., the courts statutory or constitutional power to adjudicate the case.); see also United States v. De Vaughn, 694 F.3d 1141, 1152-53 (10th Cir. 2012) (observing that if the Supreme Court had resolved Blackledge and Menna on jurisdictional grounds then the Court would have dismissed them for lack of subject matter jurisdiction).
Furthermore, to the extent that the Class Court said anything about this issue, it suggested that Blackledge- Menna claims are nonjurisdictional. For instance, the Class Court relied on the fact that the advisory committee notes to Federal Rule of Criminal Procedure 11(a)(2) indicate that both jurisdictional and Blackledge- Menna claims are not subject to its preservation requirements. Class, 138 S.Ct. at 806. If Blackledge- Menna claims were jurisdictional, then their specific inclusion --both in the advisory committee notes and in Class-- would be surplusage. See Natl Assn of Mfrs. v. Dept of Def., --- U.S. ----, 138 S.Ct. 617, 632, 199 L.Ed.2d 501 (2018) ; In re Montreal, Me. & Atl. Ry., Ltd., 799 F.3d 1, 9 (1st Cir. 2015).
United States v. DiSanto does not require a different conclusion. 86 F.3d 1238 (1st Cir. 1996). There, we assumed for the sake of argument that we review de novo an unpreserved challenge to the statute of convictions constitutionality. Id. at 1244. We later described that assumption as dicta and held that constitutional challenges of the type that Ríos presents do not relate to the courts jurisdiction. See United States v. Carrasquillo-Peñaloza, 826 F.3d 590, 593 n.3 (1st Cir. 2016) ([T]o the extent that DiSanto suggests that a constitutional challenge to a statute of conviction is jurisdictional, it is dicta.). Prior panel decisions generally bind us unless a Supreme Court opinion, en banc ruling, or statute undermines the panel decision. Williams v. Ashland Engg Co., 45 F.3d 588, 592 (1st Cir. 1995). And, as explained above, Class does not contradict our characterization of DiSanto in Carrasquillo-Peñaloza.
At least one other circuit, the Sixth Circuit, has reckoned with Classs impact on unpreserved constitutional challenges, and that courts interpretation of Class comports with ours. See United States v. Bacon, 884 F.3d 605, 610-11 (6th Cir. 2018) (applying plain error review to a constitutional challenge raised for the first time on appeal); cf. United States v. St. Hubert, 909 F.3d 335, 339, 341, 344-46 (11th Cir. 2018) (applying de novo review to a preserved constitutional challenge after an unconditional guilty plea). Because nothing in Class undermines the application of our forfeiture doctrine here, we apply it to Ríoss unpreserved constitutional arguments.
III.
Ríoss constitutional arguments cannot surmount the high bar of plain error review applicable to forfeited claims. To show plain error, the appellant must meet a demanding four-prong test. United States v. Padilla, 415 F.3d 211, 218 (1st Cir. 2005) (en banc). In particular, Ríos cannot show clear or obvious error for any of his constitutional arguments, and he thus falters at the tests second prong. United States v. Pabon, 819 F.3d 26, 34 (1st Cir. 2016). For an error to be clear and obvious, we require an indisputable error by the judge given controlling precedent. United States v. Morosco, 822 F.3d 1, 21 (1st Cir. 2016) (quoting United States v. Correa-Osorio, 784 F.3d 11, 22 (1st Cir. 2015) ).
Here, Ríos makes two constitutional claims. First, he asserts that Puerto Ricos commonwealth status precludes Congress from relying on its plenary authority to govern territories under the Territorial Clause. See U.S. Const. art IV, § 3, cl. 2. Ríos contends that Congress was required to promulgate § 2423(a) under a different enumerated power and that the only power that might justify it, the authority to regulate interstate and international commerce, does not. See U.S. Const. art I, § 8, cl. 3. Yet he identifies no precedent ruling out Congresss authority to rely on the Territorial Clause to legislate for Puerto Rico; in fact, Ríos invites us to answer what is at best an open question of constitutional law. As such, it was not plainly erroneous for the district court to have concluded that § 2423(a) was a valid exercise of the Territorial Clause.
Second, Ríos suggests that the Mann Acts different treatment of conduct occurring wholly within Puerto Rico from that occurring wholly within one of the fifty states violates the equal protection component of the Fifth Amendments Due Process Clause. He urges us to disregard Supreme Court precedent applying rational basis review to such claims and to instead apply heightened scrutiny. See Harris v. Rosario, 446 U.S. 651, 100 S.Ct. 1929, 64 L.Ed.2d 587 (1980) (per curiam); Califano v. Torres, 435 U.S. 1, 4-5, 98 S.Ct. 906, 55 L.Ed.2d 65 (1978) (per curiam). We decline the invitation; it cannot be obvious error for a district to fail to apply, sua sponte, a doctrine that would be inconsistent with Supreme Court precedent.
In the alternative, Ríos argues that § 2423(a) fails rational basis review because it prohibits only intrajurisdictional transportation of a minor for the purpose of committing a sex crime within any commonwealth, territory, or possession, but not a state. Congress does not plainly lack plenary power under the Territorial Clause to criminalize certain intrajurisdictional activity in those jurisdictions simply because it may not do so under the Commerce Clause within the fifty states. See United States v. Morrison, 529 U.S. 598, 617-18, 120 S.Ct. 1740, 146 L.Ed.2d 658 (2000). Ríos does not seriously challenge the notion that Congress may have limited the Mann Acts applicability within the fifty states because it implicitly recognized potential constitutional limits on its power. Indeed, Ríos argues that the federal government has no general police ... power and that Congress could not criminalize this conduct within any one of the fifty states. He simply asserts that § 2423(a) is irrational because Congress never explained its justification for treating trafficking within Puerto Rico differently from interstate trafficking. But there is no requirement that Congress state its reasons for enacting a statute in order for it to survive rational basis review. See U.S. R.R. Ret. Bd. v. Fritz, 449 U.S. 166, 179, 101 S.Ct. 453, 66 L.Ed.2d 368 (1980). Because Ríos has not shown a clear or obvious error, both of his constitutional challenges fail.
IV.
Nor do Ríoss sentencing arguments warrant relief. We generally review preserved claims of error in the district courts imposition of a sentence under a deferential abuse-of-discretion standard. United States v. Fuentes-Echevarria, 856 F.3d 22, 25 (1st Cir. 2017) (quoting United States v. Martin, 520 F.3d 87, 92 (1st Cir. 2008) ). The district courts legal conclusions receive de novo review, while we evaluate its fact-finding for clear error. United States v. Rossignol, 780 F.3d 475, 477 (1st Cir. 2015).
We turn first to Ríoss procedural challenge. At the outset, we note that Ríos forfeited any possible procedural objection. Despite having ample opportunity to take exception to the district courts sentence at his sentencing hearing, Ríos did not. The district court recited the sentencing factors and the evidence that it considered before it pronounced Ríoss sentence. Ríos did not object during that recitation. Moreover, after announcing Ríoss sentence, the district court asked if there was [a]nything else counsel wished to discuss, and defense counsel replied, That is all. Consequently, Ríos forfeited his arguments that the district court failed to provide him with notice of a possible departure sentence or to follow a departure guideline. See United States v. Perretta, 804 F.3d 53, 57 (1st Cir. 2015). Accordingly, we review Ríoss challenge for plain error.
Ríos posits that the district court committed a procedural error because it failed to provide him with reasonable notice before imposing a departure sentence. See Fed. R. Crim. P. 32(h). He asserts that the district court improperly issued an above guidelines sentence based on his criminal history categorys failure to adequately represent the seriousness of his past convictions. See U.S.S.G. § 4A1.3(a)(1). This assertion is misguided. Recently, we observed that there is no discernible difference between departure and variance sentences. See United States v. Santini-Santiago, 846 F.3d 487, 489-90 (1st Cir. 2017). Before United States v. Booker, 543 U.S. 220, 125 S.Ct. 738, 160 L.Ed.2d 621 (2005), district courts needed to justify deviations from the guidelines by citing a departure provision. See Santini-Santiago, 846 F.3d at 490 (citing Booker, 543 U.S. at 259-60, 125 S.Ct. 738 ). After Booker, district courts can rely on the 18 U.S.C. § 3553(a) sentencing factors instead. Because the guidelines departure provisions fit neatly into the § 3553(a) sentencing factors, we have noted that Rule 32(h) currently serves no substantive purpose at all. See Santini-Santiago, 846 F.3d at 490.
Ríos protests that at least where, as here, the district court said that it would depart -- as opposed to vary -- from the sentencing guidelines, the district court must hew to Rule 32(h). Nevertheless, we need not resolve whether the district court had to comply with Rule 32(h) or § 4A1.3 here because the district court imposed a variant sentence, not a departure sentence.
Ríos asks us to focus on one fact in isolation, the district courts stray use of the word depart. But it is clear in context that the district court misspoke and corrected itself. Immediately before announcing its intention to depart from the guidelines, the district court analyzed the § 3553(a) factors. Subsequently, in the course of correcting its calculation of the sentences length, the district court pronounced that the sentence was in essence ... a variance. See United States v. Nelson, 793 F.3d 202, 206-07 (1st Cir. 2015) (characterizing an above guidelines sentence as a variance despite district courts stray use of the word depart). Therefore, the district court gave a variant sentence and had no need to follow Rule 32(h) or § 4A1.3.
Next, Ríos contends that his sentence was substantively unreasonable. Ríos failed, as he did for his procedural reasonableness claim, to object to the substantive reasonableness of his sentence during his sentencing hearing. As we have before, we decline to resolve whether a defendant must preserve a substantive challenge to his sentence, and we assume, favorably to Ríos, that he was not required to do so. See United States v. Ruiz-Huertas, 792 F.3d 223, 228 (1st Cir. 2015).
We accordingly review the substantive reasonableness of Ríoss sentence under the abuse-of-discretion framework recited above. Ríos contends that his 216-month (eighteen years) sentence was disproportionate for two reasons. First, he posits that his conduct was less severe than the prototypical Mann Act violation (i.e. border-crossing human trafficking). Second, he suggests that some states punish conduct similar to his with significantly shorter prison terms. Ríoss reasons are unconvincing. We defer to the district courts sentencing determinations and affirm sentences that are based on a plausible sentencing rationale and that reflect a defensible result. United States v. Martin, 520 F.3d 87, 96 (1st Cir. 2008). Moreover, when a district court chooses to impose a variant sentence, we only require that its plausible rationale ... justif[ies] a variance of the magnitude in question. See United States v. Gallardo-Ortiz, 666 F.3d 808, 812 (1st Cir. 2012) (quoting Martin, 520 F.3d at 91 ). In reviewing a variant sentence, we consider the variances magnitude but will not conclude from the variances size alone that the sentence was substantively unreasonable. Instead, we give due deference to the district courts decision that the § 3553(a) factors, on a whole, justify the extent of the variance. Gall v. United States, 552 U.S. 38, 51, 128 S.Ct. 586, 169 L.Ed.2d 445 (2007).
As such, we have upheld a sentence well-above the top of the guidelines range where the district court cited the seriousness of the defendants criminal conduct, the defendants past history and likelihood of recidivism, and the need for deterrence. United States v. Flores-Machicote, 706 F.3d 16, 25 (1st Cir. 2013) ; see also Gallardo-Ortiz, 666 F.3d at 817 (reasoning that the district courts weighing of the § 3553(a) factors could not provide grounds for finding a substantially above-guidelines sentence substantively unreasonable).
Here, the district court provided a plausible rationale and a defensible result. It noted Ríoss seeming lack of remorse and his decision to downplay his criminal activity. The district court also cited Ríoss past aggravated assault conviction stemming from his alleged rapes of his stepdaughter. Furthermore, the district court considered Ríoss manipulative behavior to persuade the victim to engage in sexual activity. Ríoss arguments do not undermine the plausibility of this reasoning; they at most only show that the universe of reasonable sentencing outcomes may include a shorter sentence. See Ruiz-Huertas, 792 F.3d at 229.
Ríos insists that other jurisdictions shorter sentences for similar conduct shows the substantive unreasonableness of his sentence. Far from it. Ríos cites no case indicating that sentences in other jurisdictions set a baseline for the substantive reasonableness of federal sentences. And even if we assumed that they do -- a problematic assumption -- Ríos fails to acknowledge that many jurisdictions impose similar or longer sentences than the sentence that he received. Compare, e.g., Cal. Penal Code § 261.5(d) (permitting sentence up to four years), with Mass. Gen. Laws ch. 265, § 23A (mandating a minimum sentence of ten years with a maximum of life). Accordingly, Ríoss sentence was substantively reasonable.
V.
For the foregoing reasons, we AFFIRM Ríoss conviction and sentence.
The district court followed the plea agreements recommendation to reduce Ríoss offense level by three levels for acceptance of responsibility, pursuant to U.S.S.G. § 3E1.1(b).
None of the cases mentioned by the parties that discuss Puerto Rican sovereignty applied that concept to decide constitutional questions about Congresss powers. See, e.g., United States v. Quinones, 758 F.2d 40, 42 (1st Cir. 1985). We do not address whether the dicta in those cases is correct, except to observe that those cases do not explain how the statutes enabling and approving the Puerto Rican Constitution bind future Congresses, notwithstanding the principle that normal-course legislation generally may be repealed by future Congresses. See United States v. Winstar Corp., 518 U.S. 839, 872-74, 116 S.Ct. 2432, 135 L.Ed.2d 964 (1996).
Ríos does not argue that § 2423(a) fails rational basis review because it is motivated by animus. See United States v. Windsor, 570 U.S. 744, 770, 133 S.Ct. 2675, 186 L.Ed.2d 808 (2013). As a result, he has waived any such argument.
For the first time in his reply brief, Ríos argues that his sentence was substantively unreasonable because the district court calculated his offense level using the guideline applicable to interjurisdictional human trafficking as opposed to the guideline for statutory rape. Compare U.S.S.G. § 2G1.3, with § 2A3.2. We do not address this argument because arguments raised only in reply are waived. United States v. Hall, 557 F.3d 15, 20 n.3 (1st Cir. 2009).
Ríoss brief cites a different Massachusetts statute that imposes a three-year maximum incarcerative sentence. See Mass. Gen. Laws ch. 272, § 4. Rhode Island penalizes conduct analogous to Ríoss conduct more harshly than Massachusetts does. See R.I. Gen. Laws §§ 11-37-8.1, 8.2 (minimum of twenty-five years, maximum of life).