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United States v. Colon-Vazquez

2026-06-26No. 23-1815

Authorities cited

Opinion

majority opinion

United States Court of Appeals

For the First Circuit

No. 23-1815

UNITED STATES,

Appellee,

v.

EDDIE COLÓN-VÁZQUEZ,

Defendant, Appellant.

APPEAL FROM THE UNITED STATES DISTRICT COURT

FOR THE DISTRICT OF PUERTO RICO

[Hon. Francisco A. Besosa, U.S. District Judge]

Before

Barron, Chief Judge,

Gelpí, and Hamilton,* Circuit Judges.

Mauricio Hernandez Arroyo, with whom Law Offices of Mauricio

Hernandez Arroyo was on brief, for appellant.

Gregory Bennett Conner, with whom W. Stephen Muldrow, United

States Attorney for the District of Puerto Rico, Mariana E.

Bauzá-Almonte, Assistant United States Attorney, and Daphne M.

Cordero-Guilloty, Special Assistant United States Attorney, were

on brief, for appellee.

June 26, 2026

* Of the Seventh Circuit, sitting by designation.

GELPÍ, Circuit Judge. Defendant-Appellant Eddie

Colón-Vázquez ("Colón") pled guilty to one count of possession of

a machinegun, in violation of 18 U.S.C. § 922(o). At sentencing,

he advocated for an eighteen-month sentence, and the government

recommended a twenty-four-month sentence. The district court,

however, sentenced Colón to forty-eight months of imprisonment, an

eleven-month upward variance from the top of his Sentencing

Guidelines range of thirty to thirty-seven months. Colón now

appeals, claiming his sentence is procedurally and substantively

unreasonable. He argues that the district court failed to

adequately explain its sentence, and that the factors it relied on

cannot support an upward variance. We disagree. Given the

district court's thorough explanation of the several permissible

factors it considered in determining Colón's sentence, we affirm.

I. BACKGROUND1

A. The Offense and Plea

Early in the morning on February 28, 2023, officers from

the Puerto Rican police department responded to a report of a man

sleeping in a stolen vehicle. When they arrived, Colón was sitting

1 "'Where, as here, a sentencing appeal follows a guilty plea,

we glean the relevant facts from the change-of-plea colloquy, the

unchallenged portions of the presentence investigation report'

("PSR"), and the transcript of the sentencing hearing." United

States v. Morales-Vélez, 100 F.4th 334, 339 n.1 (1st Cir. 2024)

(quoting United States v. Melendez-Rosado, 57 F.4th 32, 36 (1st

Cir. 2023)).

- 2 -in the driver seat of the vehicle with the front door open,

speaking to a man who was crouching on the ground next to him.

The second man ran away, but the officers detained Colón and

searched the vehicle.2

The search turned up two firearms that had been modified

to function as machineguns: a Glock pistol, model 22, and a Smith

& Wesson rifle, model MP15. The pistol was loaded with a

twenty-two-round magazine, with sixteen rounds in the magazine and

one in the chamber. The officers also found a third firearm, a

black Polymer 80 pistol, which was loaded with a twenty-two-round

magazine with seventeen rounds in it. Finally, they found

additional, loose ammunition and high-capacity magazines,3 a black

hoodie, two ski masks, a black fanny pack, and gloves in the

vehicle.

A grand jury charged Colón with one count of possession

of a machinegun, in violation of 18 U.S.C. § 922(o), and on

June 16, 2023, he entered a guilty plea pursuant to an agreement.

The parties calculated a total offense level of fifteen pursuant

2 Note, the validity of the search is not at issue on appeal.

3To be specific: two Glock magazines, with twenty-two rounds

and thirteen rounds of ammunition capacity, respectively; one

rifle magazine with fifty rounds of ammunition capacity; two rifle

magazines with thirty rounds of ammunition capacity each;

forty-six rounds of .40 caliber ammunition; and 112 rounds of .223

caliber ammunition.

- 3 -to the United States Sentencing Guidelines Manual ("U.S.S.G.").4

They agreed that Colón could recommend a sentence of eighteen

months, while the government could recommend a sentence of no more

than twenty-four months. Colón waived his right to appeal only if

the district court imposed a sentence of twenty-four months or

less.5

B. The Presentence Report

Notwithstanding the (non-binding) plea agreement, when

the United States Probation Office for the District of Puerto Rico

("Probation") prepared Colón's PSR, it calculated his total

offense level as nineteen, not fifteen.6 The difference arose, in

part, from the base offense level applied pursuant to U.S.S.G.

4 The parties applied a base offense level of eighteen, then

subtracted three levels for acceptance of responsibility.

Although the plea agreement cited U.S.S.G. § 2K2.1(a)(4)(A) for

the base offense level, this citation appears to be an error. A

base offense level of eighteen applies under § 2K2.1(a)(5), not

(a)(4); sub-section (a)(5) applies "if the offense involved a

firearm described in 26 U.S.C. § 5845(a)." As discussed below,

both the Glock pistol and the Smith & Wesson rifle fell under

§ 5845(a)'s penumbra.

5 Because the district court sentenced Colón to forty-eight

months, the appellate waiver does not apply. Cf. United States v.

Staley, 43 F.4th 9, 14 (1st Cir. 2022) (noting a waiver of

appellate rights is "presumptively enforceable" if it "was made

knowingly and voluntarily" (quoting United States v. Nguyen, 618

F.3d 72, 74 (1st Cir. 2010))).

6 The 2021 Guidelines Manual was used to prepare Colón's PSR.

All Guidelines citations are to that edition. See U.S.S.G.

§ 1B1.11(a) ("The court shall use the Guidelines Manual in effect

on the date that the defendant is sentenced.").

- 4 -§ 2K2.1. That Guidelines provision governs unlawful firearm

possession and sets a base offense level that varies depending on

factors such as the nature of the firearm(s) and the defendant's

criminal history. See U.S.S.G. § 2K2(a)(1)-(8). It further

directs that the greatest base offense level should apply.

U.S.S.G. § 2K2(a).

Pursuant to that directive, where the parties applied a

base offense level of eighteen under sub-section (a)(5), Probation

applied a base offense level of twenty under sub-section (a)(4)(B).

Guidelines § 2K2.1(a)(4)(B) applies, in relevant part, if (1) the

offense involves a firearm that is described in 26 U.S.C.

§ 5845(a), and (2) the defendant was a "prohibited person" at the

time of the offense. U.S.S.G. § 2K2.1(a)(4)(B)(i)(II), (ii)(I).

As to the first prong, 28 U.S.C. § 5845(a) includes machineguns

like the Glock pistol and the Smith & Wesson rifle, which had both

been modified to "shoot, automatically more than one shot, without

manual reloading, by a single function of the trigger." 28 U.S.C.

§ 5845(b). As to the second prong, because Colón was "a long-term

user of marijuana," he was a "prohibited person" under the

Guidelines. U.S.S.G. § 2K2.1(a)(4)(B)(ii)(I); Id. cmt. n.3.

After determining the base offense level, Probation

added two levels pursuant to U.S.S.G. § 2K2.1(b)(1) because the

offense involved three firearms -- a specific offense

characteristic not contemplated by the parties -- resulting in an

- 5 -adjusted offense level of twenty-two. After deducting three levels

for acceptance of responsibility under § 3E1.1(a) and (b), Colón's

total offense level was nineteen. Because he had no prior arrests

or convictions, his total criminal history score was zero,

resulting in criminal history category I. Based on a total offense

level of nineteen and criminal history category I, Colón's

Guidelines sentencing range was thirty to thirty-seven months'

imprisonment. Colón did not object to the PSR. (We further

address this issue in Part II.A. of the opinion.)

C. The Sentencing Hearing

At sentencing on September 15, 2023, defense counsel

opened by emphasizing that Colón is a young person with family

support and no criminal history, and that no one was "directly"

hurt by the offense conduct. Counsel also pointed to the

separation of Colón's parents as a factor which affected his

decision-making and requested a sentence of eighteen months. The

government then addressed the court. It summarized the

circumstances of his arrest and the search of the vehicle, then

explained: "[T]hese are basically the tools that are used by the

persons involved in either drug trafficking or violent incidents

to disguise themselves when they are prepared for shootouts. We

are not saying that he is charged with that here, but the evidence

seized speak[s] for itself." The government requested a sentence

of twenty-four months. Finally, Colón briefly spoke. He

- 6 -apologized to his family, "since it wasn't because [he] didn't

have good advice" and they were "the ones who are affected because

of [his] bad actions."

Next, the district court recounted the charge and plea,

summarized the Guidelines calculations and sentencing range, and

stated that it had considered the statutory sentencing factors,

the PSR, the plea agreement, Colón's sentencing memorandum, the

parties' arguments, and Colón's allocution. It also briefly

reviewed his personal characteristics, including his age,

educational background, employment status, and history of drug

use.

The court then addressed the offense conduct. It first

opined about the dangerousness of machineguns and specifically

noted: "During his interview . . . by the probation officer, Mr.

Colón said that he engaged in his conduct because he was following

a trend and living his life as if it were a movie. He was following

the acquaintances that pressured and supported this type of

behavior." Next, the district court changed gears, articulating

that this Court "requires that a sentencing [c]ourt, when imposing

a significant variance, . . . make clear which specific facts of

the case motivated its decision and why these facts led to its

decision to vary upward." To that end, the district court listed

the following facts.

- 7 -First, the court pointed to the combination of the two

modified firearms, third pistol, ammunition and high-capacity

magazines, ski masks, hoodie, gloves, and the fact that Colón was

dressed in black, all of which it took as "evidence of matters

having to do either with drug transactions or with violent crime

on this island." It suggested that if Colón's "friends had that

type of weaponry with them, they . . . would also be probably

involved in drug trafficking or violent crimes."

Second, citing to our decision in United States v.

Valle-Colón, 21 F.4th 44 (1st Cir. 2021), the district court noted

that the Guidelines do not account for the possession of an assault

rifle, and that "[c]oncerns about the seriousness of such fire

power [are] sufficient to remove this case from the heartland of

the relevant guidelines."

Third, citing to our decision in United States v.

Bruno-Campos, 978 F.3d 801 (1st Cir. 2020), the district court

highlighted the amount of assault rifle ammunition of two different

calibers as a "significant factor" and "additional reason" to

impose an upwardly variant sentence. It again noted that the

Guidelines did not account for the weapons, ammunition, magazines,

ski masks, and hoodie.

Fourth, the court emphasized the "high crime rate and

proliferation of illegal firearms in Puerto Rico" as "an

appropriate sentencing consideration" to "promote[] general and

- 8 -specific deterrence." As to this factor, the district court spent

some time trying to parse this Court's precedent. The district

court took note of the particularly high homicide rate in Puerto

Rico, as compared to the homicide rate in other First Circuit

jurisdictions. And it linked that high crime rate to the items

Colón possessed, which the court again emphasized "are items that

are used for criminal actions," since "firearms and violent crime

are coextensive" and "guns and drug dealing go together like a

hand in a glove."

Given these facts, the district court concluded that an

upwardly variant sentence was appropriate and that neither the

recommended sentences, nor a Guidelines range sentence, reflected

the seriousness of the offense, promoted respect for the law,

protected the public, or adequately addressed the need for

deterrence and punishment. It then sentenced Colón to forty-eight

months of imprisonment.

Defense counsel objected to the sentence, arguing that

Colón was "being sentenced for firearms or crimes or items for

which he was not indicted, . . . or perhaps they are being used as

enhancements, and these enhancements are not even mentioned in the

[PSR] as an option." Counsel further asserted that "we really do

not know the . . . totality of the circumstances for which these

items were in the car . . . . And [Colón] should be sentenced for

the facts of the case, not for speculations." The district court

- 9 -disagreed, stating, "I don't think that I'm speculating. All of

these things that were found were in the car in which Mr. Colón

was sitting and which had been stolen four days before." This

appeal followed.

II. DISCUSSION7

We review preserved claims of sentencing error for abuse

of discretion. United States v. Morales-Vélez, 100 F.4th 334, 341

(1st Cir. 2024). Under this "multifaceted standard," we review

factual findings for clear error, "interpretations and

applications of the Guidelines" de novo, and "judgment calls" for

abuse of discretion. United States v. Mercado-Cañizares, 133 F.4th

173, 178-79 (1st Cir. 2025) (citation modified).

"[A]ppellate review of sentencing decisions is limited

to determining whether they are 'reasonable.'" Gall v. United

States, 552 U.S. 38, 46 (2007). In determining reasonableness, we

first "consider if the sentence is procedurally reasonable."

Morales-Vélez, 100 F.4th at 341. Second, "we consider 'any claim

of substantive unreasonableness.'" Id. (quoting United States v.

Díaz-Lugo, 963 F.3d 145, 151 (1st Cir. 2020)). In "conducting

this review," we "take into account the totality of the

The district court had jurisdiction under 18 U.S.C. § 3231,

7

and we have appellate jurisdiction pursuant to 28 U.S.C. § 1291

and 18 U.S.C. § 3742.

- 10 -circumstances, including the extent of any variance from the

Guidelines range." Gall, 552 U.S. at 51.

A. Colón's Variance

Before turning to our review, we start with a point of

clarification. Colón's briefing refers to his sentence as both an

eleven-month variance and as a twenty-four-month variance that is

"double" the Guidelines sentence. He also states that his sentence

is "[eleven] months higher than the contested guideline sentencing

range." (Emphasis added.) And he asks us to remand and direct

the district court to employ a "base offense level of [nineteen],"

or, "[i]n the alternative, if [we] determine[] that the

calculations were correct," to nevertheless vacate.

Under Federal Rule of Criminal Procedure 32(f)(1), Colón

had fourteen days from receipt of the PSR to "state in writing any

objections," including objections to the Sentencing Guidelines

range. But as noted in Part I.B., he did not do so. Ordinarily,

"[a] party waives any objection to the PSR by failing" to file

written objections within fourteen days, per the District of Puerto

Rico's Local Criminal Rule 132(b)(3)(A). See also United States

v. Severino-Pacheco, 911 F.3d 14, 20 n.5 (1st Cir. 2018) ("[The

defendant's] failure to object to the PSR . . . might be

interpreted as a waiver.").

Nevertheless, "[t]here will be instances when a district

court's sentencing of a defendant within the framework of an

- 11 -incorrect Guidelines range goes unnoticed." Molina-Martinez v.

United States, 578 U.S. 189, 193-94 (2016). In that instance,

when a defendant failed "to object to the miscalculation" below,

we would review for plain error under Federal Rule of Criminal

Procedure 52(b). Id. at 194. But having carefully reviewed the

PSR's Guidelines calculations, see supra Part I.B, we discern no

error and conclude that the district court applied the correct

range: thirty to thirty-seven months.

With that conclusion in mind, "the starting point for a

court's sentencing determination is the guideline range, not the

parties' recommendations." Morales-Vélez, 100 F.4th at 342

(quoting United States v. Cortés-Medina, 819 F.3d 566, 573 (1st

Cir. 2016)). Thus, "in evaluating the reasonableness of [Colón's]

variant sentence, we compare the variance to the guideline [range],

not the sentence[s] recommended by the parties." Id. Colón's

unobjected to Guidelines range was thirty to thirty-seven months,

so we proceed with the understanding that his forty-eight-month

sentence is an eleven-month upward variance.

B. Procedural Reasonableness

Colón claims that his sentence is procedurally

unreasonable because the district court failed to adequately

explain the sentence. His main argument is that none of the

factors considered by the district court, including the dangerous

nature of machineguns and the quantity and type of ammunition,

- 12 -carried his case outside of the "heartland" of the applicable

Guidelines. We reject this claim for two reasons. First, Colón's

arguments isolate each underlying sentencing factor, but the

district court relied on a combination of facts and considerations,

not on any single factor alone. Second, our recent case law

forecloses his arguments.

When a sentencing court "decides that an

outside-Guidelines sentence is warranted" based on the statutory

sentencing factors, see 18 U.S.C. § 3553(a), it "must consider the

extent of the deviation and ensure that the justification is

sufficiently compelling to support the degree of the variance."

Gall, 552 U.S. at 50. Then, the court "must adequately explain

the chosen sentence to allow for meaningful appellate review and

to promote the perception of fair sentencing." Id.; see also

18 U.S.C. § 3553(c) ("The court, at the time of sentencing, shall

state in open court the reasons for its imposition of the

particular sentence.").

For purposes of appellate review, "sentencing courts

must say enough to show . . . they considered the parties'

arguments and had a reasoned basis for exercising their own legal

decisionmaking authority." Morales-Vélez, 100 F.4th at 341

(citation modified). When a court varies upward, its "duty of

explanation 'increases in proportion to the extent of

the . . . deviation from the guideline range: the greater the

- 13 -deviation, the greater the burden of justifying the sentence

imposed.'" Id. at 341-42 (quoting United States v.

Montero-Montero, 817 F.3d 35, 37 (1st Cir. 2016)). Failure to

adequately explain a sentence constitutes procedural error. Gall,

552 U.S. at 51.

Here, the district court pointed to the following

combination of facts and considerations when it determined Colón's

sentence: his possession of three firearms -- including two

machineguns -- with ammunition and high-capacity magazines; the

ski masks, hoodie, fanny pack, and gloves, and Colón's black

clothing; and Puerto Rico's high deterrence needs due to its

homicide rate. Because the district court relied on these combined

factors, we think this case is distinguishable from the cases Colón

cites. See United States v. Rivera-Berríos, 968 F.3d 130 (1st

Cir. 2020); United States v. García-Pérez, 9 F.4th 48 (1st Cir.

2021); United States v. Carrasquillo-Sánchez, 9 F.4th 56 (1st Cir.

2021). In each of the cited cases, we reversed and remanded where

the district court imposed an upward variance based solely or

primarily on the dangerous nature of machineguns, though this

factor was already accounted for by the applicable guideline,

without sufficient explanation. Rivera-Berríos, 968 F.3d at 137;

García-Pérez, 9 F.4th at 53; Carrasquillo-Sánchez, 9 F.4th at 57,

62. Colón's case, however, is more akin to United States v.

Polaco-Hance, 103 F.4th 95 (1st Cir. 2024), where we affirmed a

- 14 -sentence because the judge did not "give dispositive weight to

[the dangerousness of machineguns] alone but rather considered it

along with . . . other valid and individualized factors." Id. at

102; see also Morales-Vélez, 100 F.4th at 344 (distinguishing the

defendant's case from the Rivera-Berríos line because "the

district court did not rely exclusively on the nature of machine

guns to support its upward variance but also based its sentence on

the amount and type of ammunition found with the gun").

Moreover, even if the district court had not considered

a combination of factors, one of the factors it relied on suffices

to justify this variance under our case law: the quantity of

ammunition. Sentencing courts may vary upward where the Guidelines

do not account for the possession of "substantial quantities of

ammunition, and/or multiple high-capacity magazines," particularly

when the defendant has "more ammunition or magazines than would be

expected in a typical unlawful possession case." Bruno-Campos,

978 F.3d at 806 (first quote); United States v. Rosario-Merced,

109 F.4th 77, 83 (1st Cir. 2024) (second quote); see also

Polaco-Hance, 103 F.4th at 101 ("We have held repeatedly that the

amount of ammunition and the number of extended

magazines . . . can be valid bases for an upward variance for

firearms offenses.").

In United States v. Mercado-Cañizares, 133 F.4th 173

(1st Cir. 2025), the district court relied, in part, on the

- 15 -quantity of ammunition present in imposing the exact variance at

issue here -- forty-eight months, up from thirty-seven months at

the top of the Guidelines range. Id. at 178. We affirmed, holding

that seventy-four rounds of ammunition, fifty of which were loaded

in two high-capacity magazines, was "independently sufficient to

support" the variance. Id. at 181. As summarized in Part I.A.

supra, Colón possessed more ammunition than the defendant in

Mercado-Cañizares: seventeen rounds loaded into a twenty-two-round

magazine in the Glock pistol, another seventeen rounds loaded in

a twenty-two-round magazine in the Polymer 80 pistol, two

additional Glock magazines, three rifle magazines, and 158 rounds

of loose ammunition of two different calibers. The ammunition

alone is thus "independently sufficient" under our precedent to

support the upward variance.8 Id.; see also Rosario-Merced, 109

8Colón's arguments do not change our conclusion. He points

out that "there are no federal limits to how much ammunition one

can legally own," nor any "prohibition on specialty ammunition."

He then argues that the total ammunition and magazines he possessed is not "atypical or outside the ordinary for typical gun

ownership." To illustrate this point, he notes that ammunition is

typically sold in boxes of fifty rounds, and that commercial

airlines allow passengers to travel with ammunition in excess of

the amounts he possessed.

The thrust of his argument is that the ammunition he possessed

was "consistent with simple possession of a machine gun."

Rivera-Berríos, 968 F.3d at 135. At the risk of stating the

obvious, our case law referring to "simple possession" contains an

implicit assumption: that we are considering the amount of

ammunition in the context of illegal firearm possession, and not

within the context of legal gun ownership. See Rosario-Merced,

109 F.4th at 83 (discussing ammunition in a "typical unlawful

- 16 -F.4th at 84 (collecting cases in which we found no error with

respect to upward variances based, in part, on the amount of

ammunition).

Given this conclusion, we need not consider Colón's

challenges to the other facts the district court relied on, such

as the multiple firearms and the ski masks, or community-based

factors.9 Instead, we turn to his additional arguments attacking

the sufficiency of the district court's explanation.

possession case" (emphasis added)). Therefore, we think his

argument is creative, but ultimately inapposite.

Colón also highlights that the only Guidelines provision

which mentions ammunition "significantly ratchets down the offense

level when the number of rounds is less than 500." Again, this

argument is inapposite, as the referenced guideline concerns the

exportation of arms or munitions without a license. See U.S.S.G.

§ 2M5.2.

Finally, Colón correctly observes that he did not plead guilty

to "any specification of amounts of ammunition." But this

information was included in his PSR, which he did not object to.

As such, "the district court was entitled to draw upon the facts

within it." United States v. González-Rodríguez, 859 F.3d 134,

137 (1st Cir. 2017).

9 We do, however, issue a note of caution. Relying on our

decision in Valle-Colón, the district court stated that the

Guidelines do not account for Colón's possession of an assault

rifle, and that "[c]oncerns about the seriousness of such fire

power is sufficient to remove this case from the heartland of the

relevant guidelines."

Valle-Colón, however, concerned a different offense,

possession of a firearm in furtherance of a drug trafficking crime, in violation of 18 U.S.C. § 924(c)(1)(A). 21 F.4th at 49. This

statute "does not specifically account for machine guns," and the

Guidelines range for these convictions is calculated under

U.S.S.G. § 2K2.4(b). Morales-Vélez, 100 F.4th at 343. But here,

Colón's Guidelines range for his 18 U.S.C. § 922(o) conviction was

calculated under U.S.S.G. § 2K2.1, and as explained in Part I.B.,

- 17 -First, as we understand it, Colón argues the district

court did not explicitly state that it was imposing a Kimbrough

variance based on a policy disagreement with the Guidelines'

treatment of machineguns. See Kimbrough v. United States, 552

U.S. 85 (2007). Accordingly, without notice that the court

intended to impose such a variance, "[i]t was impossible . . . to

raise any objections to disagreement with [the]

guidelines . . . notwithstanding . . . that the gun possession

was already included in the guidelines."

We disagree with this assessment. The district court

explicitly called out the dangerous nature of machineguns and later

stated: "Concerns about the seriousness of such fire power is

sufficient to remove this case from the heartland of the relevant

guidelines." And at the end of sentencing, the district court

heard objections from Colón's counsel. The record thus makes

pellucid that Colón had an opportunity to object to the district

court's assessment of the dangerous nature of machineguns and to

the weight the district court assigned to that factor. See United

States v. Carmona-Alomar, 109 F.4th 60, 73 (1st Cir. 2024) (noting

the base offense level covered both the modified pistol and the

Smith & Wesson rifle. See id. at 342 ("The statutory regimes

underpinning sections 2K2.4(b) and 2K2.1, and the text of the

guidelines themselves, are fundamentally different. Accordingly,

our analysis of each guideline yields a different result.").

But, despite this oversight, Colón does not argue that this

error alone requires that the sentence be vacated. See United

States v. Sineneng-Smith, 590 U.S. 371, 375 (2020).

- 18 -that though the defendant objected to the district court's reliance

on the dangerous nature of machineguns, he "fail[ed] to

explain . . . why the mere fact that the District Court gave some

weight to th[at] factor[] . . . shows that the . . . sentence was

procedurally unreasonable"). Furthermore, Colón conceded at oral

argument that this sentence is not a Kimbrough variance, and that

the district court could permissibly reach the same result through

such a variance.

Next, Colón takes issue with the district court's

explanation regarding its consideration of community-based

factors, i.e., Puerto Rico's homicide rate. He says the district

court relied on this factor "without any citation to authority"

and attacks the court's case law discussion as "rudimentary." The

government argues that Colón waived this claim because he raised

it for the first time on appeal and failed to argue plain error.

Colón counters that his objection at sentencing preserved the

claim, and we should review de novo. We conclude that regardless

of the standard of review applied, the record belies Colón's

assertions. See Polaco-Hance, 103 F.4th at 100 ("We need not

resolve this dispute, however, because we conclude that [the

defendant] cannot prevail even if we grant him the benefit of

abuse-of-discretion review.").

Under our precedent, "a sentencing judge may consider

community-based and geographic factors," as "the incidence of

- 19 -particular crimes in the relevant community appropriately informs

and contextualizes the relevant need for deterrence." United

States v. Flores-Machicote, 706 F.3d 16, 22-23 (1st Cir. 2013);

see also 18 U.S.C. § 3553(a)(2)(B) (directing sentencing courts to

consider the need "to afford adequate deterrence to criminal

conduct"). Still, community-based factors must be "considered in

conjunction with case-specific factors." Carmona-Alomar, 109

F.4th at 72. Relevant here, at the time of Colón's sentencing we

had withdrawn a panel opinion in United States v. Flores-González,

34 F.4th 103 (1st Cir. 2022), in order to hear the case en banc

and consider "whether a district court, in its discretion, may

rely on the characteristics of the specific community in which the

defendant committed his offense (in this case, the alleged

prevalence of machinegun crimes in Puerto Rico) . . . to impose a

variant sentence." United States v. Flores-González, 46 F.4th 57,

58 (1st Cir. 2022) (Mem.).

Within this context, in which an en banc decision had

not yet issued, the district court explained that we have "set

forth shifting standards regarding the propriety of

community-based considerations" and spent ample time parsing our

case law. We read this discussion as an attempt to situate Colón's

sentence within the guidance we had issued to that point, and to

explain why the variance should be sustained, not as "rudimentary."

In light of the same, as well as the district court's citations to

- 20 -the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention and the Puerto Rico

Statistics Institute for the homicide rates he read into the

record, it is not clear why Colón argues that the district court

did not provide any citations or other authority. Accordingly, we

move on.

Two final issues. First, Colón notes that the "district

court cited some cases . . . but did not cite to all of the cases

in the Statement of Reasons." Absent more developed argumentation,

we are not quite sure what this challenge is, and so deem it

waived. See United States v. Zannino, 895 F.2d 1, 17 (1st Cir.

1990) ("[I]ssues adverted to in a perfunctory manner,

unaccompanied by some effort at developed argumentation, are

deemed waived."). Second, in his reply brief Colón seems to assert

there is a sentencing disparity between him and other defendants.

But because he did not raise this issue in his opening brief, it

is also waived. See United States v. Thompson, 62 F.4th 37, 42

n.1 (1st Cir. 2023).

In sum, we conclude that the district court "committed

no significant procedural error." Gall, 552 U.S. at 53 ("[The

judge] correctly calculated the applicable Guidelines range,

allowed both parties to present arguments as to what they believed

the appropriate sentence should be, considered all of the § 3553(a)

factors, and thoroughly documented his reasoning."). We thus turn

to Colón's substantive challenge.

- 21 -C. Substantive Reasonableness10

Colón argues that his sentence is substantively

unreasonable because he is a "violence free offender" who committed

a "violence and victim free crime with no facts of note beyond the

type of firearm." As such, he asserts that a sentence of

twenty-four months adequately accounts for the nature of his

offense, taking into consideration his personal characteristics.

And he further claims the district court did not consider his

personal characteristics, including, among other things, that he

has no criminal history, has never been arrested, was not charged

with stealing the vehicle, and did not discharge the firearms.

Sentencing courts "must weigh competing factors and

impose a sentence that is 'sufficient, but not greater than

necessary,' to serve multiple, often-conflicting goals of

sentencing." Rosario-Merced, 109 F.4th at 85 (quoting 18 U.S.C.

§ 3553(a)). This process is "unavoidabl[y] . . . discretionary,"

and thus, "[t]here is no one reasonable sentence in any given case

but, rather, a universe of reasonable sentencing outcomes." Id.

(first quote); United States v. Clogston, 662 F.3d 588, 592 (1st

Cir. 2011) (second quote). A substantively reasonable sentence

requires (1) "a plausible sentencing rationale" and (2) "a

10Colón's objection below preserved his substantive

reasonableness challenge for appeal, so we review for abuse of

discretion. Morales-Vélez, 100 F.4th at 341.

- 22 -defensible result." Morales-Vélez, 100 F.4th at 346 (quoting

United States v. Rodríguez-Cruz, 997 F.3d 362, 366 (1st Cir.

2021)). We think both are present here.

True, at sentencing the district court did not wax

eloquent with respect to Colón's personal characteristics. But it

does not follow that the judge did not consider those

characteristics. See Severino-Pacheco, 911 F.3d at 22 ("Even if

the emphasis on his personal circumstances was not as apparent as

[Colón] would have preferred, brevity is not to be confused with

inattention." (Citation modified.)). The district court

"explicitly" acknowledged Colón's personal characteristics. Id.

That acknowledgment merits some weight in our review. And Colón

received credit for his lack of criminal history in the Guidelines

calculations, which are "the starting point and the initial

benchmark" for sentencing courts. Gall, 552 U.S. at 49; accord

Peugh v. United States, 569 U.S. 530, 542 (2013) ("Even if the

sentencing judge sees a reason to vary from the Guidelines, if the

judge uses the sentencing range as the beginning point to explain

the decision to deviate from it, then the Guidelines are in a real

sense the basis for the sentence." (Citation modified.)).

In short, Colón's sentence "falls within [the] broad

universe" of substantively reasonable sentences. Morales-Vélez,

100 F.4th at 345 (quoting United States v. Rivera-Morales, 961

F.3d 1, 21 (1st Cir. 2020)).

- 23 -III. CONCLUSION

Because we discern no procedural or substantive error,

we affirm Colón's forty-eight-month sentence.

- 24 -